Oberhof BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 15.01.2021 men 4×7.5km relay race preview

Our simulation is predicting Norway to win men’s relay race in Oberhof with 65 percent. Second and third place projected for France (19 percent to win) and Germany (11 percent to win). They are followed by Russian (three percent), Italy (1 percent). Other countries have less than one percent chance to win, you can see seconds behind to each of the team in the table below.

The Czech team is predicted to be last with 631 seconds behind. A change was made in the team, and Jonas Maracek will take the place of Michal Krcmar on the third leg. This change makes the Czech team substantially weaker.

Bib	Country	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Projected seconds behind
1	NORWAY	65%	95%	0s
8	FRANCE	19%	73%	56s
3	GERMANY	11%	59%	88s
4	RUSSIA	3%	31%	132s
6	ITALY	1%	15%	162s
2	SWEDEN	<1%	7%	202s
10	BELARUS	<1%	6%	206s
7	AUSTRIA	<1%	7%	212s
12	UKRAINE	<1%	3%	246s
9	SWITZERLAND	<1%	1%	256s
11	FINLAND	<1%	1%	274s
16	USA	<1%	<1%	291s
13	SLOVENIA	0%	<1%	326s
14	CANADA	0%	<1%	354s
24	ROMANIA	0%	<1%	397s
20	LITHUANIA	0%	<1%	399s
22	LATVIA	0%	<1%	426s
17	BELGIUM	0%	0%	466s
18	SLOVAKIA	0%	<1%	473s
21	POLAND	0%	0%	474s
15	JAPAN	0%	0%	479s
19	ESTONIA	0%	0%	520s
23	KAZAKHSTAN	0%	0%	551s
5	CZECH REPUBLIC	0%	<1%	631s