Oberhof BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 10.01.2021 single mixed relay race preview

Here is a table showing how our model predicts first single mixed relay of the season. We can see Norway is a big (39% chance to win) favourite, following by France (22% chance) and Sweden (20%). Italy will fight for a gold medal with 9% chance, Russia have 5% and Germany 3% chance to win.

Bib	Country	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Projected seconds behind
2	NORWAY	39%	75%	0s
1	FRANCE	22%	59%	16s
4	SWEDEN	20%	58%	25s
12	ITALY	9%	37%	50s
10	RUSSIA	5%	29%	59s
3	GERMANY	3%	21%	76s
8	CANADA	1%	9%	100s
6	AUSTRIA	1%	9%	106s
11	BELARUS	<1%	1%	145s
7	UKRAINE	<1%	1%	148s
13	USA	<1%	1%	158s
9	SWITZERLAND	<1%	<1%	165s
15	CZECH REPUBLIC	<1%	<1%	171s
17	KAZAKHSTAN	<1%	<1%	190s
5	ESTONIA	<1%	<1%	190s
24	BELGIUM	<1%	<1%	194s
19	LATVIA	<1%	<1%	198s
25	FINLAND	<1%	<1%	231s
18	SLOVENIA	0%	<1%	236s
21	BULGARIA	0%	<1%	238s
27	MOLDOVA	0%	<1%	241s
22	LITHUANIA	0%	<1%	276s
14	JAPAN	0%	0%	297s
16	POLAND	0%	<1%	338s
23	ROMANIA	0%	0%	350s
26	CROATIA	0%	0%	432s
20	SLOVAKIA	0%	0%	452s