Oberhof BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 09.01.2021 men 12.5km pursuit race preview

Norwegians are huge favourites to win today’s pursuit in Oberhof.

According to our model the first is projected to be won by Johannes Boe who has 65% winning chance. His brother Tarjei goes after him with 18% chance to win and predicted to be some 43 seconds behind.

Our model’s third and fourth favourites are Sturla Holm Lægreid and Johannes Dale who are predicted to be 50 and 82 seconds behind Johannes Thingnes Boe.

Bib	Gap	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Projected seconds behind
1	0	BOE Johannes Thingnes	65%	91%	0s
2	11	BOE Tarjei	18%	67%	43s
3	22	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	9%	51%	50s
5	35	DALE Johannes	4%	29%	82s
4	32	HOFER Lukas	1%	13%	110s
14	68	JACQUELIN Emilien	1%	10%	112s
6	52	PONSILUOMA Martin	1%	12%	114s
7	54	DESTHIEUX Simon	<1%	7%	124s
12	65	FAK Jakov	<1%	4%	130s
18	81	SAMUELSSON Sebastian	<1%	2%	149s
9	57	WEGER Benjamin	<1%	2%	149s
19	81	LOGINOV Alexander	<1%	2%	149s
8	56	CLAUDE Fabien	<1%	3%	151s
11	61	LATYPOV Eduard	<1%	2%	155s
16	73	ELISEEV Matvey	<1%	1%	156s
15	72	DOLL Benedikt	<1%	2%	156s
22	88	GUIGONNAT Antonin	<1%	1%	162s
13	67	BOCHARNIKOV Sergey	<1%	1%	166s
25	93	LESSER Erik	<1%	1%	166s
21	83	EDER Simon	<1%	<1%	167s
47	132	PEIFFER Arnd	0%	<1%	200s
28	102	NELIN Jesper	<1%	<1%	201s
23	88	HORN Philipp	<1%	<1%	209s
26	98	BORMOLINI Thomas	<1%	<1%	212s
10	58	YALIOTNAU Raman	<1%	<1%	219s
30	108	PRYMA Artem	<1%	<1%	227s
46	129	SEPPALA Tero	0%	0%	258s
48	133	GOW Scott	0%	0%	300s
52	144	HARJULA Tuomas	0%	0%	307s
49	135	NEDZA-KUBINIEC Andrzej	0%	0%	348s