All favourites to win today are under the same flag, and it is not hard to guess their country: Johannes Thingnes Boe (25% chance to win), Sturla Holm Laegreid (12%), Tarjei Boe (9%), Johannes Dale (9%).
| Bib | Name | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Projected seconds behind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOE Johannes Thingnes |
|
25% | 51% | 0s | |
| 2 | LAEGREID Sturla Holm |
|
13% | 39% | 12s | |
| 7 | BOE Tarjei |
|
9% | 26% | 30s | |
| 3 | DALE Johannes |
|
9% | 25% | 31s | |
| 6 | JACQUELIN Emilien |
|
7% | 23% | 35s | |
| 5 | FILLON MAILLET Quentin |
|
6% | 20% | 38s | |
| 8 | CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad |
|
6% | 20% | 39s | |
| 9 | FAK Jakov |
|
2% | 9% | 60s | |
| 16 | LOGINOV Alexander |
|
3% | 10% | 61s | |
| 4 | SAMUELSSON Sebastian |
|
3% | 10% | 61s | |
| 11 | PONSILUOMA Martin |
|
3% | 9% | 67s | |
| 15 | PEIFFER Arnd |
|
1% | 6% | 73s | |
| 19 | DESTHIEUX Simon |
|
1% | 6% | 74s | |
| 13 | LESSER Erik |
|
1% | 5% | 76s | |
| 12 | DOLL Benedikt |
|
1% | 6% | 76s | |
| 10 | CLAUDE Fabien |
|
1% | 6% | 79s | |
| 20 | EDER Simon |
|
1% | 3% | 79s | |
| 28 | ANDERSEN Aleksander Fjeld |
|
1% | 4% | 87s | |
| 14 | WEGER Benjamin |
|
1% | 3% | 88s | |
| 18 | GUIGONNAT Antonin |
|
1% | 3% | 88s | |
| 23 | NELIN Jesper |
|
1% | 4% | 90s | |
| 17 | HOFER Lukas |
|
1% | 3% | 93s | |
| 22 | ELISEEV Matvey |
|
<1% | 2% | 98s | |
| 27 | GARANICHEV Evgeniy |
|
<1% | 2% | 98s | |
| 25 | LATYPOV Eduard |
|
<1% | 1% | 109s | |
| 21 | KRCMAR Michal |
|
<1% | 1% | 110s | |
| 29 | EBERHARD Julian |
|
<1% | 2% | 110s | |
| 24 | MORAVEC Ondrej |
|
<1% | 1% | 116s | |
| 26 | PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro |
|
<1% | 1% | 125s | |
| 30 | KOMATZ David |
|
<1% | <1% | 149s |

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