by For the first men’s relay of the season in Kontiolahti our model predicts 71% chance for Norway to win (not a big surprise), France with 13% and Germany with 10% are second and third favourites. You will not find Belgium and Kazakhstan in the table below as we do not have enough data about some their athletes and are unable to include these teams in our simulation.
| Bib | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Projected seconds behind | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORWAY |
|
71% | 96% | 0s | ||
| FRANCE |
|
13% | 63% | 69s | ||
| GERMANY |
|
10% | 59% | 94s | ||
| SWEDEN |
|
3% | 28% | 115s | ||
| RUSSIA |
|
2% | 22% | 154s | ||
| AUSTRIA |
|
<1% | 9% | 190s | ||
| BELARUS |
|
<1% | 9% | 204s | ||
| ITALY |
|
<1% | 4% | 216s | ||
| CZECH REPUBLIC |
|
<1% | 6% | 232s | ||
| UKRAINE |
|
<1% | 2% | 247s | ||
| SLOVENIA |
|
<1% | 1% | 273s | ||
| SWITZERLAND |
|
<1% | 1% | 296s | ||
| FINLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 302s | ||
| UNITED STATES |
|
<1% | <1% | 303s | ||
| CANADA |
|
<1% | <1% | 313s | ||
| LITHUANIA |
|
0% | <1% | 383s | ||
| POLAND |
|
0% | <1% | 449s | ||
| LATVIA |
|
0% | <1% | 458s | ||
| ESTONIA |
|
0% | 0% | 479s | ||
| SLOVAKIA |
|
0% | 0% | 492s | ||
| JAPAN |
|
0% | 0% | 495s | ||
| BULGARIA |
|
0% | 0% | 499s |
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