Here is our simulation for first team event of the season – women’s relay in Kontiolahti. We can see some big favourites here – Sweden (37% chance), Norway (29%) and France with 13% for a gold medal.
| Bib | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Projected seconds behind | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWEDEN |
|
37% | 71% | 0s | ||
| NORWAY |
|
29% | 66% | 0s | ||
| FRANCE |
|
13% | 43% | 42s | ||
| GERMANY |
|
8% | 34% | 68s | ||
| BELARUS |
|
2% | 11% | 115s | ||
| RUSSIA |
|
3% | 16% | 116s | ||
| AUSTRIA |
|
3% | 18% | 117s | ||
| UKRAINE |
|
2% | 16% | 130s | ||
| SWITZERLAND |
|
1% | 7% | 132s | ||
| ITALY |
|
2% | 11% | 137s | ||
| CZECH REPUBLIC |
|
<1% | 4% | 161s | ||
| UNITED STATES |
|
<1% | <1% | 236s | ||
| CANADA |
|
<1% | <1% | 242s | ||
| ESTONIA |
|
<1% | <1% | 244s | ||
| POLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 260s | ||
| JAPAN |
|
0% | <1% | 333s | ||
| FINLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 339s | ||
| BULGARIA |
|
0% | 0% | 434s | ||
| KAZAKHSTAN |
|
0% | <1% | 446s | ||
| KOREA |
|
0% | 0% | 523s | ||
| SLOVAKIA |
|
0% | 0% | 619s |

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