Kontiolahti BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 29.11.2020 women 7.5km sprint race preview

The table below showing our projection for women’s sprint in Kontiolahti. As the main contender for the gold medal with a 13% chance to win we see Marte Olsbu Roeiseland, even if she only took 24th place after she missed four shots yesterday. We dont have clear 2nd favourite for today but we list 4 athletes with very close chances: yesterdays winner Dorothea Wierer (ITA), Tiril Eckhoff (NOR), Denise Herrmann (GER) and Hanna Oeberg (SWE) all have 8-9% chance to be the best today.

Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Projected seconds behind
ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu	14%	31%	0s
WIERER Dorothea	9%	24%	7s
ECKHOFF Tiril	9%	22%	11s
HERRMANN Denise	8%	21%	12s
OEBERG Hanna	8%	22%	8s
CHEVALIER Anais	5%	16%	16s
PREUSS Franziska	4%	13%	20s
BRAISAZ Justine	4%	11%	27s
TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark	3%	10%	24s
HAUSER Lisa Theresa	3%	10%	25s
SIMON Julia	3%	9%	33s
VITTOZZI Lisa	3%	9%	34s
BESCOND Anais	2%	7%	32s
OEBERG Elvira	2%	6%	41s
PAVLOVA Evgeniya	2%	6%	25s
HOJNISZ Monika	2%	5%	46s
KNOTTEN Karoline Offigstad	1%	5%	52s
DAVIDOVA Marketa	1%	5%	41s
ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara	1%	4%	68s
HAECKI Lena	1%	4%	54s
KRYUKO Iryna	1%	4%	38s
PERSSON Linn	1%	4%	38s
HINZ Vanessa	1%	4%	46s
MIRONOVA Svetlana	1%	3%	52s
BRORSSON Mona	1%	3%	42s
HOEGBERG Elisabeth	1%	3%	46s
INNERHOFER Katharina	1%	2%	56s
GASPARIN Selina	1%	2%	54s
LAUKKANEN Mari	1%	2%	60s
DZHYMA Juliya	1%	2%	49s

This model we have also used to simulate the entire season and project who are the most likely contenders for the large crystal globe as well as the small ones, for both genders.