Below is our simulation for the 2nd mens race in Kontiolahti – the upcoming 10 km sprint. As you can see Johannes Thingnes Boe who is a large favourite in our season simulation and got silver yesterday after 1 shooting miss is the main favourite for today with a 29% chance to win. He is followed by his brother Tarjei Boe (3 misses and 12th place yesterday) – 9% chance to win, French Quentin Fillon Maillet (4th place yesterday with 1 shooting miss) – 9% chance to win and yesterdays winner with perfect shooting – the young Norwegian Sturla Holm Laegreid with a 5% winning chance.
| Bib | Name | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Projected seconds behind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOE Johannes Thingnes |
|
29% | 55% | 0s | ||
| FILLON MAILLET Quentin |
|
9% | 25% | 25s | ||
| BOE Tarjei |
|
9% | 25% | 24s | ||
| LAEGREID Sturla Holm |
|
5% | 15% | 33s | ||
| CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad |
|
4% | 16% | 33s | ||
| JACQUELIN Emilien |
|
4% | 14% | 39s | ||
| LOGINOV Alexander |
|
4% | 13% | 38s | ||
| DESTHIEUX Simon |
|
3% | 12% | 42s | ||
| DALE Johannes |
|
3% | 11% | 43s | ||
| DOLL Benedikt |
|
3% | 10% | 49s | ||
| BJOENTEGAARD Erlend |
|
3% | 10% | 46s | ||
| PEIFFER Arnd |
|
2% | 10% | 44s | ||
| PONSILUOMA Martin |
|
2% | 7% | 65s | ||
| SAMUELSSON Sebastian |
|
2% | 7% | 59s | ||
| EBERHARD Julian |
|
2% | 6% | 62s | ||
| SMOLSKI Anton |
|
1% | 5% | 77s | ||
| KUEHN Johannes |
|
1% | 5% | 68s | ||
| LESSER Erik |
|
1% | 5% | 66s | ||
| HOFER Lukas |
|
1% | 5% | 58s | ||
| GUIGONNAT Antonin |
|
1% | 5% | 56s | ||
| NELIN Jesper |
|
1% | 4% | 65s | ||
| CLAUDE Fabien |
|
1% | 4% | 65s | ||
| FAK Jakov |
|
1% | 4% | 57s | ||
| RASTORGUJEVS Andrejs |
|
1% | 3% | 64s | ||
| EDER Simon |
|
1% | 2% | 68s | ||
| PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro |
|
1% | 2% | 77s | ||
| WEGER Benjamin |
|
<1% | 2% | 77s | ||
| LEITNER Felix |
|
<1% | 2% | 73s | ||
| BOCHARNIKOV Sergey |
|
<1% | 2% | 87s | ||
| ELISEEV Matvey |
|
<1% | 2% | 81s |

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